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The Generational Decline: Why Each New Generation Smokes Less—and What That Means

Every generation born since the 1950s has smoked less than the one before. The generational decline is the most powerful force in tobacco control. Understanding it is essential to predicting the future of nicotine.

The Baby Boomers smoked at the highest rates in history—over 40% at peak. Gen X smoked less. Millennials smoked less still. Gen Z smokes at the lowest rates ever recorded—under 2% for cigarettes. **Every generation born since the 1950s has smoked less than the one before. The generational decline is the most powerful force in tobacco control—more powerful than any policy, more durable than any campaign. Each new cohort enters adulthood with lower smoking rates, and the population average declines as older cohorts die. The cigarette is dying with its consumers.**

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